TODAY'S WEATHER AT AQUEDUCT
NEW FEATURE: I am now including the "PAR TIMES" for each race as part of this graded selection column. The "Par Time" is the average winning time for today's race, at this class level, at this distance at Aqueduct Race Course. The data is based on winning times stored in the TrackMaster Data Base for THE LAST FIVE YEARS! Comparing current times recorded by today's entries to these "Par Times" may be a valuable handicapping aid!
| RACE | PAR TIME |
| 1 | 1:45.89 |
| 2 | 1:11.34 |
| 3 | 1:45.06 |
| 4 | 1:42.09 |
| 5 | 1:12.84 |
| 6 | 1:11.49 |
| 7 | 1:10.37 |
| 8 | 1:10.22 |
| 9 | 1:13.29 |
NOTE: ALL RACES TODAY WILL BE CONTESTED ON AQUEDUCT'S WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK
NOTE: Why 4 selections in many races? Aqueduct offers Superfecta wagering on many races on a daily basis. Also, the 4th selection is often a longshot with a reasonable chance of hitting the board, as well as providing a viable alternative in case of a scratch.
#3 STAGE NAME
#5 BELLA FACHI
#1 GINGEE
#6 SHARPANDWITTY
#4 WISE AWAKE
#8 BRIDGETTA
#6 KEEP BUSTIN
#2 BILEAPS AND BOUNDS
#2 C C'S PRIDE
#5 STAR OF THE FOREST
#3 TAYLOR JAGGER
#7 FLOATRING ALONE
#5 EL GRILLO
#7 H MAN
#12 BACK SCATTER
#4 BOLDLEE
#2 PARTY ON
#3 FIDELIUS
#8 SIR MAURICE
#1 LEATHERHEAD LURIE
#8 JAZZMINEGEM
#4 DARN THAT TRIP
#12 MY WON LOVE
#5 SAHARAN SERENADE
#8 GLICKMAN
#6 DON TITO
#12 CAY TO POMEROY
#9 MOP HEAD
#7 ATLANTIC'S SMILE
#2 MAKE THE MOMENT
#6 FRIVOLITY
#5 MISSZIPPITYSLENDA
#7 ATLANTIC'S SMILE has excellent early speed abilities to compliment for this inner track sprint, is the overall speed leader in this O.C. field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her last five outings, with no finish worse than 2nd, including a "POWER RUN WINS" in her 3rd race back. #2 MAKE THE MOMENT, a 6-1 shot, has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in four straight, hitting the board in three, including a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in her 4th race back, missing "The Circle" in that race by just a "photographed nose" at the wire.
#12 ALICE AND TRIXIE
#9 HIDDENITE
#3 FERZETTI
#2 DELIGHTFUL ERIN
#2 HULA PARTY
#4 TRES BIEN ENSEMBLE
#7 AUNT TIPSY
#1 FOXIE AFLEET
#2 HULA PARTY will enjoy a speed advantage on this claiming field this evening, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her last four outings. Jockey Angel Rodriguez and Trainer Brandon Kulp will send her to the post for the "Thursday Opener" tonight ... they've hit the board with 60% of more than 100 entries saddled as a team to date. #4 TRES BIEN ENSEMBLE takes a class drop (-5) and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN BOARD HITS" in her last two starts.
NOTE: RICK ALSO HANDICAPS ADDITIONAL SELECT RACES FROM MAJOR TRACKS ON A NIGHTLY BASIS VIA YOUTUBE - YOU CAN GET THESE FREE SELECTIONS VIA HIS WEB SITE - Rick Needham's Better Bettor
Disclaimer: Every attempt has been made to insure accuracy, however since this report is prepared and typed by hand, errors, including typographical and numerical, can be made. It is the responsibility of the end user to "cross check" these selections against the actual entries and program numbers.
|
TODAY'S BEST BET: #7 ATLANTIC'S SMILE - RACE #8 TODAY'S BEST VALUE BET: #2 C C'S PRIDE - RACE #3 TODAY'S BEST LONGSHOT: #12 ALICE AND TRIXIE - RACE #9 TODAY'S BEST "BOXED EXOTIC" WAGERING OPPORTUNITY: RACE #1 |
|
NONE FOUND ON TODAY'S CARD |
NOTES ON CLASS: The TrackMaster PLUS software uses a sophisticated mathematical formula to calculate the "class" of a particular race. It is important to note that this calculation is NOT based on purse structure, but on the competitive level of the entries in today's field. Therefore, it is possible (and not uncommon), that an entry may be racing for a higher purse today than in his or her last race, but in a "TrackMaster Sense" is dropping in class, because the overall abilities of the entries in today's race are not as competitive as the entries in his or her last race. The TrackMaster class scale is numeric, and basically ranges from 50 to 100, and is particularly helpful in judging entries that are "shipping" in from another track. In my analysis of a race, I often note that an entry is "dropping in class," or "stepping up in class." Following this statement, you will see a (number in parenthesis). The value of that particular number indicates the degree of the class change. EXAMPLE: "#4 SIN CITY takes a fairly significant class drop (-8) this evening." This indicates that this entry is dropping by 8 TrackMaster Class Levels from his or her last race. It does not necessarily mean that this entry is racing for a lower purse, only racing against a less competitive field.
NOTES: I frequently use the term, "POWER RUN" in this column. It is my terminology for a previous race run at a speed, which if duplicated today, should compete for the winner's circle at the class level in which the entry is competing today. Space requirements do not allow for a thorough discussion of this calculation, however, if you would like a short essay on how the "POWER RUN" is calculated, kindly send me some EMAIL at [email protected] and I'll send you a copy of my "POWER RUN" file.
TRIVIA NOTE: "TrackMaster Rick" Needham is the "oldest" (in terms of experience) Thoroughbred Racing Handicapper on the "INTERNET!" His selections began appearing back in 1982 when our current Internet System was just a "Figment of imagination" of the current operating systems ... he was the "creator," and SYSOP (Systems Operator) for both The Sports Forum and The Science and Mathematics Forum on the Compuserve Network, and posted his selections from The NYRA and Southern California Circuits on a daily basis some 25 years ago! These selections continue via Equibase/TrackMaster today!
RACE #4: The 9-2 shot, #1 MICHELLE'S TRIP, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a BIG class drop (-18), is the speed leader in this field tonight, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in two of her last four starts.
RACE #5: #7 BUDACOMO, a 5-1 shot, is the speed leader in this claiming field tonight racing at, or about, 8½ furlongs on the dirt.
RACE #6: #7 HELLENISTIC is 9-2 in the morning line, takes a class drop (-3), and is the speed leader in this optional claiming field ... she's hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her last five outings, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her 2nd and 3rd races back.
RACE #8: #10 SHE'S ABL, a 9-2 shot, takes a class drop (-13), and is the overall speed leader in this maiden field sprinting at today's distance of 5.0 furlongs on the turf.
a. Odds are GREATER THAN 4-1
b. The entry must be the TOP POWER RATED entry in the field
c. The entry must also have the BEST SPEED in this field for today's distance and surface!
Fair Grounds - RACE #8 - 4:52PM - #7 GALTON 9/2
Gulfstream Park - RACE #7 - 4:00PM - #3 LET'S WRAP IT UP 8/1
NOTE: Listed Post Times are given in the local time zone of the track.
